Fireworks prices skyrocketing, but there should be plenty of bottle rockets, sparklers for July 4 - News Azi

2022-07-24 04:05:55 By : Mr. Ze Ruan

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Many cities, such as New York, returned to hosting big public displays in 2021 after skipping 2020 due to the pandemic.  AP Photo/John Minchillo

If you’re looking forward to shooting off bottle rockets and Roman candles this Fourth of July, I’ve got good news and bad news.

The bad is that fireworks prices are soaring this year along with pretty much everything else. The good news, however, is that at least you don’t need to worry about a shortage — there should be plenty of rockets, fountains and sparklers to go around.

I’m an economist who has been following the fireworks industry for years. Despite soaring wholesale prices, I believe the latest data suggests you may be able to beat inflation and snag some fireworks deals — if you’re patient.

Fireworks imports at a record

Fireworks were first invented in China over 2,000 years ago. Today, that’s where most of the world’s fireworks still come from.

China has been responsible for 87% of the world’s fireworks exports since 2010. Much of these are low-priced mass market products, like firecrackers and Roman candles, the kind you’ll find at your local fireworks store.

In the U.S., regular people — as opposed to professional pyrotechnicians — typically light off the most fireworks around the Fourth of July, and so businesses import large amounts well in advance of the holiday to ensure a large supply.

The U.S. imported 185 million pounds of fireworks, mostly from China, in the first four months of 2022, the latest data available. That’s already 27% ahead of last year’s record pace. And this doesn’t even include figures for May and June, the two months that usually account for the biggest volumes in a typical year.

The figures include about 5.5 million pounds of fireworks for professional displays — which means that all but about 3% of these imports are intended for private consumer use. The 179 million pounds aimed at consumers already equates to over half a pound of fireworks for every man, woman and child living in the U.S — with more on the way. In all of 2021, the U.S. imported a record 1.25 pounds of fireworks per person.

More expensive fireworks for the expansive public displays cities typically put on come from countries like the Netherlands, Germany, Spain, Poland and the U.S.

American manufacturers, which produce an estimated 6.7 million pounds of fireworks a year, focus on designing the more sophisticated rockets for big public displays, and often help orchestrate them.

Consumer demand likely to fall

But there’s reason to believe consumer demand might actually be lower than usual this year.

In 2020, most public displays were canceled to avoid encouraging large crowds that might spread the coronavirus. As a result, Americans were lighting off a lot more fireworks in backyards and city streets than usual — often illegally.

Public displays began returning in 2021, and more are expected in 2022. That’s translating into a surge of professional fireworks imports, though they still remain well below pre-pandemic levels.

But the return of large displays will likely reduce demand from more casual users since it is hard to go to a professional show and light off lots of small fireworks at the same time. And severe drought in large swaths of the U.S. should further damp consumer demand as officials urge cities to restrict the use of fireworks to avoid sparking wildfires.

That means prices should … rise?

Basic economics tells us that when supply is high and demand is low, prices should go down. The data available suggests otherwise, thanks to the fastest pace of inflation in over 40 years.

Importers paid an average of US$1.30 per pound for fireworks in the first four months of the year, a 15% increase from 2021 — or close to double the overall rate of inflation.

Unfortunately, the consumer price index doesn’t have detailed data on the cost people are actually shelling out for retail fireworks. But there is data on the price producers are paying for explosives, propellants and blasting accessories, which include fireworks. The latest data, for May 2022, shows prices were up 11% from a year earlier.

And there’s reason to believe the amount retailers ultimately charge for fireworks will go up even more after factoring in the soaring cost of transporting goods, higher insurance premiums and rising labor costs.

Be patient and stay safe

It seems likely that retailers beleaguered by pandemic-related supply chain problems in everything from coins and toilet paper to baby formula and even Grape-Nuts cereal simply placed big fireworks orders as early as they could.

But I think it’s likely that this will lead to a glut in supply, and fireworks peddlers will be saddled with too many rockets for too little demand and may have to eventually lower the price to entice inflation-weary consumers.

So if you’re planning to shoot off fireworks as part of your Fourth of July celebrations, there’s probably no need to hoard them the way many people stocked up on toilet paper or baby formula. In fact, you might benefit from waiting and taking advantage of better deals closer to July 4.

One note of caution, though: Use common sense when lighting your rockets and candles, especially if children are around. Thousands of people in the U.S. are injured from fireworks every year, and some even die. Per-capita injuries spiked during the pandemic after decades of declines.

It’s also smart to pay attention to how fireworks affect nearby pets and take some precautions to protect them.

Whether you are lighting fireworks, watching them illuminate the night sky or just hiding from the noise, I wish all of you a happy Independence Day.

Jay L. Zagorsky does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license.

It’s hard to imagine there’s a person in America who doesn’t have at least a few childhood memories associated with fireworks. Thunderously loud, dazzlingly bright, and of course, that grand finale that never seems to end—fireworks are a nearly universal symbol of celebration across the world. They explode when wars are won, during holidays, and even when Disneyland closes down for the night. Millions of people line up to see them, and millions of dollars are spent buying them.

Those consumers, however, should keep in mind that fireworks make celebrations better only when they’re handled safely—nothing kills a party faster than a trip to the emergency room for injuries involving exploding projectiles. Powerful and potentially very dangerous, fireworks are nothing to trifle with. Statistics show that thousands of Americans, many of whom are children, are injured each year by preventable accidents with fireworks. When they are done right, however, today’s best fireworks shows are truly marvelous displays of science, imagination, pageantry, and, of course, history—a very long history, at that. While fireworks in America are most closely associated with Independence Day, they trace their roots back to well before July 4, 1776. The story of fireworks starts thousands of years ago and involves dramatic changes in military conquest, spirituality, and good old-fashioned fun.

From a handful of bottle rockets whizzing up and popping over the neighbor’s yard to highly coordinated televised events that light up entire major cities, summer is fireworks season. Here’s a look at how it all started, how it evolved, the numbers behind the industry, and the realities of how high the stakes are when you decide to run your own pyrotechnics show. Keep reading for a peek into the 2,000-year journey of the greatest party novelty in the history of the world.

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The original fireworks were actually just sticks of bamboo, according to the Smithsonian Science Education Center. More than 2,000 years ago, around 200 B.C., people in China threw bamboo into fires, which would make the hollow rods explode when air trapped in pockets inside would burst after being heated.

The planet got a whole lot noisier somewhere between 600 and 900 A.D., according to the American Pyrotechnics Association (APA). During that period, alchemists in China developed what would become black powder by mixing charcoal with potassium nitrate and sulfur. The accidental discovery was the precursor to modern gunpowder and the ingredient that makes fireworks go boom.

Although powder-fueled fireworks were now officially pyrotechnic events, they would likely not have satisfied the modern reveler. The Chinese didn’t add colors and they had not yet developed projectile explosives, so fireworks shows didn’t light up the sky—or anything, really. They simply tossed the mixture encased in bamboo or paper into fires, where it ignited and made a series of pops, like modern firecracker strings.

The Chinese originally used black powder fireworks not for entertainment, but for use in spiritual ceremonies. This was similar to their ancient predecessors, who used their air-filled bamboo fireworks to ward off evil spirits centuries before.

It wasn’t long before the concept of controlled explosions caught the eye of military tacticians, and by the year 1,200, the Chinese had invented rocket cannons. The devices used black powder to blast projectiles at approaching enemies. The deadly technology, however, also made it possible to blast fireworks into the sky—the aerial fireworks show was born.

As the new military tech spread west, rocket cannons became artillery cannons and handheld muskets. Europeans adopted not just the weapons, but fireworks, as well. They began expanding the technology into elaborate displays that were held to celebrate religious holidays, military victories, and royal festivities—for the first time in history, fireworks were the life of the party.

The Smithsonian printed excerpts of a letter Founding Father and future president John Adams wrote to his wife on July 2, 1776, two days before the signing of the Declaration of Independence. He wrote that he believed a massive celebration was in order and that the festivities should include fireworks, although he called them “illuminations.” Adams got his fireworks and they’ve been closely associated with the holiday ever since.

About 18.7 million pounds of display fireworks (small-scale explosives such as bottle rockets, firecrackers, and roman candles) were used in 2020, according to the APA. That, however, is just a drop in the bucket compared to the 385.8 million pounds of consumer fireworks that were used during the same time period. In total, 404.5 million pounds of fireworks were set off in 2020 alone.

The 404.5 million pounds of fireworks consumed in 2020 was more than 1 million greater than the year previously—in the summer of 2020 America was on lockdown, and people took to setting off fireworks earlier and more frequently. That 404.5 million pounds is approaching triple the 152.2 million pounds consumed in 2000. The use of display fireworks (professional-grade shows involving significantly more explosive material than consumer fireworks) dropped by more than half during that time from 50.6 million pounds in 2000 to 18.7 million pounds in 2020. Consumers, however, went from using just 102 million pounds to 385.8 million pounds in the same span of time.

Every state in America plus Washington D.C. permits some or all consumer fireworks that are legal at the federal level, according to the APA—all except one. Massachusetts bans all consumer fireworks, while Illinois, Ohio, and Vermont allow only novelty items like sparklers.

According to the APA, “the U.S. fireworks industry has experienced unprecedented growth during the past decade and a half.” In 2000, display and consumer fireworks revenue was $50.6 million and $102 million, respectively. By 2020, those numbers were $18.7 million and $385.8 million. The organization traces the boom back to 9/11 and advances in fireworks technology at the turn of the millennium. 

The modern aerial fireworks shell is made up of six components. Each shell includes a lead fuse, stars or effects, supplemental burst, bursting charge, internal time fuse, and lifting charge—otherwise known as black powder—which is still made from the same elements originally mixed by the Chinese.

Aron van der Wurff // Wikimedia Commons

Al Marjan Island in Ras Al Khaimah in the United Arab Emirates kicked off the start of 2019 with what might just be the greatest fireworks display in human history. According to Guinness, the show broke two records, one for the longest straight-line fireworks display, which extended for eight miles, and another for the longest chain of fireworks, which consisted of 11,284 shells. In 2020, a group in Steamboat Springs, Colorado, broke a record with a 2,797-pound shell that was deemed the largest in history—it was so huge that a giant mortar was built just to shoot it off.  

The Macy’s 4th of July Fireworks show is the biggest and most famous of its kind in the United States. In 2021, the pyrotechnics will launch from the Brooklyn Bridge and a series of barges. The 25-minute show will involve more than 65,000 shells, with variations including screaming dragons, silver twisters, howling wolves, and a 1,600-foot waterfall.

Fireworks are, for what should be obvious reasons, potentially very dangerous devices that explode, burn hot, and travel at high rates of speed. According to the Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC), 10,000 people were injured badly enough in fireworks accidents to require emergency treatment in 2019.

Also in 2019, 12 people died in fireworks-related incidents. Including those 12 deaths, CPSC calculates the average death toll from fireworks to be 7.9 deaths per year. Of the 12 who died the most recent year, seven were killed by “misuse of fireworks,” two deaths “were associated with fireworks device malfunction (late ignition),” and three were killed via “unknown circumstances.” The CPSC stresses in its report that the deaths listed is a conservative list and the actual number of people killed by fireworks in 2019 is likely higher.

Sparklers are often viewed as benign and safe alternatives to fireworks that are okay for kids because they sparkle and glow, but don’t explode. According to the National Safety Council, they burn incredibly hot—around 2,000 degrees—hot enough to melt metal. Many children suffer severe burns by dropping sparklers on their feet or after sparklers ignite their clothing with incredible speed.

More than half of all fireworks injuries are due to burns, and a huge plurality—nearly one in three—of all fireworks injuries are to the hands and fingers, according to the CPSC. The head, face, ears, and eyes are the next most likely injuries.

Men account for the majority of fireworks-related injuries. According to the CPSC, injuries are split 66/34 between men and women.

People younger than 20 account for half of the fireworks injuries that are serious enough for emergency-room treatment, according to the CPSC. Children under the age of 15 fell into the second-highest risk group, making 36% of emergency-room injuries. 

At 5.3 injuries per 100,000 people in 2019, children 4 and younger had the highest rate of firework injuries treated in emergency rooms, according to the CPSC. Teens aged 15 to 19 years of age had the second-highest estimated rate (4.4 injuries per 100,000 people).

Cherry bombs, M-80s, silver salutes, M-250s, and quarter sticks are classified as illegal explosives that are banned by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives (ATF). They are, however, illegally manufactured and distributed en masse every Fourth of July. The ATF states: “The explosive compositions in these devices are typically extremely sensitive to heat, shock, electrostatic discharge and friction that may initiate, unexpectedly causing serious injury or death. The risks associated with these devices are further compounded because the persons manufacturing, transporting and using these devices often do not have the knowledge, skills, and experience required for such activities.”

In 2018, fireworks provided the spark for 19,000 fire, according to the National Fire Protection Association, including 17,100 outside fires, 1,900 structure fires, and 500 vehicle fires. Those fires killed an average of five people, caused 46 civilian injuries, and do $105 million worth of damage. More fires are reported on July 4 than any other day of the year. Given dry conditions and increasingly damaging wildfires, fireworks should not be used in places that can easily ignite. 

At least nine states have made their laws more permissive since 2000, according to the APA, with many opting to legalize handheld and ground-based sparkling devices. Another eight states liberalized existing laws since 2011.

Fireworks are black powder explosives and therefore are, of course, dangerous. That said, it is certainly possible to transport, store, and use fireworks in a safe, responsible manner—actually, fireworks account for just 2.4% of all common outdoor summer activities for children between the ages of 5 and 18. In fact, well over half of all such injuries can be traced to just three activities, none of which involve explosives: swimming, bicycling, and playing in playgrounds.

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